L’École des cotesFrançais
São Bernardo v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 42.25%2.37cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.97%42.62%42.11%45.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.132.132.2850.76%46.91%47.06%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.652%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.93%27.24%28.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.453.7032.26%28.75%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.55%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.702%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%30.45%30.66%31.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.053.053.2036.36%32.80%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -12.12%E -5.83%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.50%E -7.75%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -12.97%E -6.30%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -0.709%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -2.25%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -13.81%E -6.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.52%E -2.00%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -2.34%E -0.652%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.66%E -7.26%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.02%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -16.35%E -8.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.77%E -8.51%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.94%E -2.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.36%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -6.42%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.32%E -3.83%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.77%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.26%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.61%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:51 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.35%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.05%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.41%E -3.93%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.67%E -5.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |