语言:简体中文
Ponte Preta v Sport Recife
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ponte Preta (主队)
预测 30.23%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.13%
优势 -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.27
博彩公司预测分布
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sport Recife (客队)
预测 39.13%2.56公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.64%3.26公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ponte Preta (主队)：30.23%；Sport Recife (客队)：39.13%；平局：30.64%。 对于“Ponte Preta (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.31。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.27，期望值为-1.13%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |