A Escola das Odds

Ponte Preta v Sport Recife

Início: 2026-05-09 21:30 UTC

Final: Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport Recife

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ponte Preta (Local)

Previsão 30.23%3.31odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Visitante)

Previsão 39.13%2.56odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.64%3.26odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 21:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:24
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 21:04
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 21:24
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:15
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:03
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:04
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 21:09
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:19
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:24
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:05
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 21:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:14
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:09
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 21:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:05
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 21:04
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:24
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:05
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:25
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:24
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24