L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 30.23%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.13%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.64%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:03 |
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |