La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ponte Preta v Sport Recife
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sport Recife (Visitante)
Predicción 39.13%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:03 |
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 21:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 21:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |