مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ponte Preta v Sport Recife

البداية: 2026-05-09 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport Recife

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ponte Preta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.23%3.31السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sport Recife (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.13%2.56السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.64%3.26السعر العادل
EV -3.49%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 21:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:24
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 21:04
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 21:24
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:15
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:03
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:04
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 21:09
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:19
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:24
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:05
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 21:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:14
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:09
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 21:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:05
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 21:04
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:24
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:05
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:25
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:24
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24