Школа коэффициентов

Ponte Preta v Sport Recife

Начало: 2026-05-09 21:30 UTC

Итог: Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport Recife

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ponte Preta (Хозяева)

Прогноз 30.23%3.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.13%
Преимущество -0.346%
Kelly -0.499%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.25%30.19%30.28%32.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.802.993.003.2735.71%33.44%33.33%30.58%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sport Recife (Гости)

Прогноз 39.13%2.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -2.00%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.48

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.44%39.18%39.06%41.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.382.382.4845.45%42.01%42.02%40.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.64%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.49%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -1.62%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.58%30.62%30.66%32.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.32%33.33%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -1.13%E -0.346%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 21:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:24
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -12.07%E -4.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 21:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.25%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 21:04
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 21:24
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:10
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:15
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:03
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:04
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 21:09
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:19
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:24
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:05
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 21:15
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:14
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:09
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 21:19
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:09
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.05%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 21:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.92%E -6.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.28%E -6.40%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:25
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -2.96%E -1.19%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:24
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.81%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.14%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:05
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.96%E -5.32%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 21:04
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 21:24
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:05
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.92%E -4.49%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:25
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -13.83%E -4.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 21:24
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:05
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.34%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -7.27%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 21:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-05-09 21:24