语言:简体中文
Ponte Preta v São Bernardo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ponte Preta (主队)
预测 11.71%8.54公平赔率
EV +11.23%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.148%
假设最高赔率为 9.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.83%11.70%11.67%12.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
São Bernardo (客队)
预测 68.43%1.46公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -2.99%
Kelly -10.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
66.61%68.41%68.52%72.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.231.331.351.4081.30%75.20%74.35%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.86%5.04公平赔率
EV +4.25%
优势 +0.809%
Kelly +1.000%
增长率 +0.042%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.79%19.89%19.82%21.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.704.705.2523.81%21.29%21.28%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ponte Preta (主队)：11.71%；São Bernardo (客队)：68.43%；平局：19.86%。 对于“Ponte Preta (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.54。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.50，对应+11.23%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +5.37%E +0.597%K +0.672%G +0.036% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -12.40%E -9.69%K -44.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.31%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.715%E -0.143%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -13.77%E -10.93%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.82%E -0.340%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -3.41%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -11.02%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.39%EV -11.60%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.85%EV -6.47%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.61%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -15.61%E -3.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.49I 13.35%NM 12.48%EV -12.31%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.27%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.24%EV -8.26%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -18.04%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |