Lingua:Italiano
Ponte Preta v São Bernardo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ponte Preta (Casa)
Previsione 11.71%8.54quota equa
EV +11.23%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.148%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.83%11.70%11.67%12.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
São Bernardo (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.43%1.46quota equa
EV -4.19%
Vantaggio -2.99%
Kelly -10.48%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.61%68.41%68.52%72.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.331.351.4081.30%75.20%74.35%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 19.86%5.04quota equa
EV +4.25%
Vantaggio +0.809%
Kelly +1.000%
Crescita +0.042%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.79%19.89%19.82%21.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.704.705.2523.81%21.29%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ponte Preta (Casa): 11.71%; São Bernardo (Trasferta): 68.43%; Pareggio: 19.86%. Per Ponte Preta (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.54. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.23%.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +5.37%E +0.597%K +0.672%G +0.036% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -12.40%E -9.69%K -44.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.31%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.715%E -0.143%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -13.77%E -10.93%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.82%E -0.340%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -3.41%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -11.02%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.39%EV -11.60%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.85%EV -6.47%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.61%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -15.61%E -3.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.49I 13.35%NM 12.48%EV -12.31%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.27%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.24%EV -8.26%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -18.04%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |