Язык:Русский
Ponte Preta v São Bernardo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ponte Preta (Хозяева)
Прогноз 11.71%8.54справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.23%
Преимущество +1.18%
Kelly +1.32%
Рост +0.148%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.83%11.70%11.67%12.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
São Bernardo (Гости)
Прогноз 68.43%1.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.19%
Преимущество -2.99%
Kelly -10.48%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.61%68.41%68.52%72.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.231.331.351.4081.30%75.20%74.35%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.86%5.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.25%
Преимущество +0.809%
Kelly +1.000%
Рост +0.042%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.79%19.89%19.82%21.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.704.705.2523.81%21.29%21.28%19.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ponte Preta (Хозяева): 11.71%; São Bernardo (Гости): 68.43%; Ничья: 19.86%. Для исхода «Ponte Preta (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.54. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.23%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +5.37%E +0.597%K +0.672%G +0.036% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -12.40%E -9.69%K -44.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.31%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.715%E -0.143%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -13.77%E -10.93%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.82%E -0.340%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -3.41%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -11.02%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.39%EV -11.60%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.85%EV -6.47%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.61%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -15.61%E -3.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.49I 13.35%NM 12.48%EV -12.31%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.27%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.24%EV -8.26%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -18.04%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.25% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |