StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ponte Preta 0–2 São Bernardo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 11.71%8.54rättvist odds
EV +11.23%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.32%
Tillväxt +0.148%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.83%11.70%11.67%12.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.008.128.009.5014.29%12.31%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 68.43%1.46rättvist odds
EV -4.19%
Fördel -2.99%
Kelly -10.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.61%68.41%68.52%72.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.231.331.351.4081.30%75.20%74.35%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.86%5.04rättvist odds
EV +4.25%
Fördel +0.809%
Kelly +1.000%
Tillväxt +0.042%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.79%19.89%19.82%21.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.704.705.2523.81%21.29%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ponte Preta (Hemma): 11.71%; São Bernardo (Borta): 68.43%; Oavgjort: 19.86%. För Ponte Preta (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.54. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.23%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +11.23%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.148%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV +4.25%E +0.809%K +1.000%G +0.042%7.1%2026-09-06 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +5.37%E +0.597%K +0.672%G +0.036%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -12.40%E -9.69%K -44.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 20:50
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 20:44
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.31%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 20:45
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -11.72%E -9.08%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -0.715%E -0.143%K -0.179%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:05
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -13.77%E -10.93%K -52.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 21:25
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.49%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -14.46%E -11.57%K -57.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -0.481%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.38%EV -15.83%E -12.87%K -68.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -4.69%E -0.976%K -1.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -2.82%E -0.340%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 21:05
Coolbet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -3.41%E -0.413%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 21:10
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -2.70%E -0.551%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:10
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 21:05
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 21:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.33%E -0.792%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.03%E -8.49%K -36.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 21:15
NordicBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:09
Betsson🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.73%EV -8.68%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.80%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -11.02%E -1.45%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:15
1xBet🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.39%EV -11.60%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.85%EV -6.47%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 21:20
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.68%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 21:15
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 21:25
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 21:20
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 21:15
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.61%E -5.64%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -10.64%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 21:15
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.61%EV -6.93%E -5.09%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -15.61%E -3.67%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 21:25
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.19%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 21:05
Pinnacle🎯7.49I 13.35%NM 12.48%EV -12.31%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.27%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.24%EV -8.26%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 21:25
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 21:19
BetUS🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -15.12%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.95%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -9.65%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -15.70%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -4.19%E -2.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.66%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 21:20
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -18.04%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -8.98%E -6.75%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 21:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.67%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16%0.4%2026-09-06 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-09-06 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-09-06 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-09-06 21:25
Smarkets◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.46%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28%1.7%2026-09-06 21:25