赔率学院

Ponte Preta v Ceará

开赛时间： 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Ponte Preta (主队)

预测 26.47%3.78公平赔率
EV +4.57%
优势 +1.16%
Kelly +1.55%
增长率 +0.071%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
23.60%26.25%26.55%27.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.633.593.9530.77%27.52%27.86%25.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

Ceará (客队)

预测 42.35%2.36公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
40.29%42.55%42.39%45.08%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.152.172.2950.00%46.53%46.19%43.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.18%3.21公平赔率
EV -3.35%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.96%31.20%31.06%32.75%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.04%33.96%32.26%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -11.92%E -5.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 17:39
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:50
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:49
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.54%EV -12.76%E -6.20%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -13.19%E -6.43%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 23:54
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -13.61%E -6.67%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:54
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:54
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:54
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:50
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.31%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.08%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 23:50
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:50
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.27%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 23:54
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 23:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:49
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 23:44
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 23:45
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.78%EV -6.41%E -2.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 23:50
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 23:49
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.97%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 23:50
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 23:49
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 23:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:50
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 23:45
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 23:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-01 23:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-04-01 23:55