La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ponte Preta v Ceará
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Ponte Preta (Casa)
Previsione 26.47%3.78quota equa
EV +4.57%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.071%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%26.25%26.55%27.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.633.593.9530.77%27.52%27.86%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ceará (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.35%2.36quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.29%42.55%42.39%45.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.172.2950.00%46.53%46.19%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.18%3.21quota equa
EV -3.35%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.96%31.20%31.06%32.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.04%33.96%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -11.92%E -5.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.54%EV -12.76%E -6.20%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -13.19%E -6.43%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -13.61%E -6.67%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.31%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.08%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.27%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.78%EV -6.41%E -2.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.97%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |