Oddsskolan

Ponte Preta v Ceará

Matchstart: 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 26.47%3.78rättvist odds
EV +4.57%
Fördel +1.16%
Kelly +1.55%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.60%26.25%26.55%27.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.253.633.593.9530.77%27.52%27.86%25.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Ceará (Borta)

Prognos 42.35%2.36rättvist odds
EV -3.02%
Fördel -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.29%42.55%42.39%45.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.002.152.172.2950.00%46.53%46.19%43.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.18%3.21rättvist odds
EV -3.35%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -1.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.96%31.20%31.06%32.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.04%33.96%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:30
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -11.92%E -5.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 17:39
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:50
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:49
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.54%EV -12.76%E -6.20%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -13.19%E -6.43%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 23:54
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -13.61%E -6.67%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:54
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:54
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:54
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 23:50
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.31%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.08%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 23:50
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:50
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.27%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 23:54
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 23:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:49
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 23:44
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 23:45
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.78%EV -6.41%E -2.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 23:50
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 23:49
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.97%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 23:50
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 23:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 23:49
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 23:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 23:50
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 23:45
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 23:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-01 23:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-01 23:50
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-04-01 23:55