La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ponte Preta v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV +4.57%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%26.25%26.55%27.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.633.593.9530.77%27.52%27.86%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 42.35%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.29%42.55%42.39%45.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.172.2950.00%46.53%46.19%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%31.20%31.06%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.04%33.96%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -11.92%E -5.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.54%EV -12.76%E -6.20%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -13.19%E -6.43%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -13.61%E -6.67%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.31%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.08%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.27%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.78%EV -6.41%E -2.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.97%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |