L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV +4.57%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%26.25%26.55%27.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.633.593.9530.77%27.52%27.86%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.35%2.36cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.29%42.55%42.39%45.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.172.2950.00%46.53%46.19%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%31.20%31.06%32.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.04%33.96%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +4.57%E +1.16%K +1.55%G +0.071% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -11.92%E -5.73%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -8.34%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.54%EV -12.76%E -6.20%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV +1.93%E +0.501%K +0.676%G +0.013% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.66%EV -13.19%E -6.43%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.54%EV -13.61%E -6.67%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +0.604%E +0.159%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -14.46%E -7.16%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.12%EV -2.31%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.08%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -5.53%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -9.27%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 23:54 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.02%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.78%EV -6.41%E -2.90%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.58%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.87%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.68%E -3.52%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.97%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.95%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.83%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.07%E -5.27%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-01 23:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -4.72%E -2.10%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -13.96%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -15.30%E -7.65%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-01 23:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 23:55 |