语言:简体中文
Ponte Preta v Botafogo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ponte Preta (主队)
预测 26.69%3.75公平赔率
EV -0.195%
优势 -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.74
博彩公司预测分布
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Botafogo (客队)
预测 41.87%2.39公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.44%3.18公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.04
博彩公司预测分布
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ponte Preta (主队)：26.69%；Botafogo (客队)：41.87%；平局：31.44%。 对于“Ponte Preta (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.75。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.74，期望值为-0.195%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 21:47 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |