L’École des cotesPonte Preta v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.195%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.87%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.44%3.18cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 21:47 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |