Школа коэффициентов

Ponte Preta v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-06-01 22:00 UTC

Итог: Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ponte Preta (Хозяева)

Прогноз 26.69%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.195%
Преимущество -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.74

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 41.87%2.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.60%
Преимущество -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.44%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.42%
Преимущество -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.04

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-01 21:50
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 21:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 21:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-01 21:50
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 21:47
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-01 21:49
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 21:50
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-01 21:50
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-01 21:50
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-01 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-01 21:49
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:49
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-01 21:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-01 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-06-01 21:50