مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ponte Preta v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-06-01 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ponte Preta (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.69%3.75السعر العادل
EV -0.195%
الأفضلية -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.87%2.39السعر العادل
EV -1.60%
الأفضلية -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.44%3.18السعر العادل
EV -4.42%
الأفضلية -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-01 21:50
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 21:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 21:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-01 21:50
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 21:47
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-01 21:49
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 21:50
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-01 21:50
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-01 21:50
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-01 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-01 21:49
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:49
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-01 21:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-01 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-06-01 21:50