La scuola delle quote

Ponte Preta v Botafogo

Inizio: 2026-06-01 22:00 UTC

Finale: Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ponte Preta (Casa)

Previsione 26.69%3.75quota equa
EV -0.195%
Vantaggio -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.87%2.39quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.44%3.18quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-01 21:50
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 21:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 21:50
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 21:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-01 21:50
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-01 21:47
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-01 21:49
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 21:50
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-01 21:50
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 21:50
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-01 21:50
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-01 21:50
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-01 21:50
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-01 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-01 21:49
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-01 21:50
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 21:49
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-01 21:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-01 21:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-01 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-01 21:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-01 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-06-01 21:50
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-06-01 21:50