La escuela de los momiosPonte Preta v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.195%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%26.71%26.58%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.423.7432.26%29.25%29.24%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 41.87%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.64%41.77%42.03%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.232.222.3550.00%44.77%45.05%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.44%3.18momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.81%31.52%31.38%33.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.873.0437.04%34.76%34.84%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.74%EV -0.195%E -0.052%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -1.26%E -0.341%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.60%E -0.711%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.94%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.20%E -2.77%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-01 21:47 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -7.04%E -3.17%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -8.51%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.38%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -9.13%E -4.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -16.25%E -8.13%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.97%E -4.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.60%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.77%E -3.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-01 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-06-01 21:50 |