StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta v Avai

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ponte Preta 0–2 Avai

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 20.60%4.85rättvist odds
EV +0.345%
Fördel +0.071%
Kelly +0.089%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.79%20.53%20.59%22.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.414.404.8725.00%22.70%22.73%20.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Borta)

Prognos 51.87%1.93rättvist odds
EV -5.08%
Fördel -2.78%
Kelly -6.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.61%51.95%51.91%54.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.56%56.34%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.53%3.63rättvist odds
EV -2.28%
Fördel -0.641%
Kelly -0.893%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.31%27.53%27.50%28.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.333.5532.26%29.89%30.08%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ponte Preta (Hemma): 20.60%; Avai (Borta): 51.87%; Oavgjort: 27.53%. För Ponte Preta (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.85. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.87, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.345%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV +0.345%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.54%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.42%E -8.74%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 18:40
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:38
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:44
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:48
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:39
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 13:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:44
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:50
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:49
1xBet🎯4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -7.90%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:51
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:54
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:09
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 13:50
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:39
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:44
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:39
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:34
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-08-23 18:54