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Ponte Preta v Avai
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ponte Preta (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.60%4.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.345%
Преимущество +0.071%
Kelly +0.089%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.87
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.79%20.53%20.59%22.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.414.404.8725.00%22.70%22.73%20.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Avai (Гости)
Прогноз 51.87%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.08%
Преимущество -2.78%
Kelly -6.12%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.61%51.95%51.91%54.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.56%56.34%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.53%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.28%
Преимущество -0.641%
Kelly -0.893%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.31%27.53%27.50%28.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.353.333.5532.26%29.89%30.08%28.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ponte Preta (Хозяева): 20.60%; Avai (Гости): 51.87%; Ничья: 27.53%. Для исхода «Ponte Preta (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.85. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.87, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.345%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV +0.345%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.54%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.42%E -8.74%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -7.90%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |