Langue:Français
Ponte Preta v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 20.60%4.85cote équitable
EV +0.345%
Avantage +0.071%
Kelly +0.089%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%20.53%20.59%22.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.404.8725.00%22.70%22.73%20.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.87%1.93cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -6.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.61%51.95%51.91%54.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.56%56.34%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -0.893%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.53%27.50%28.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.333.5532.26%29.89%30.08%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ponte Preta (Local) : 20.60% ; Avai (Visiteur) : 51.87% ; Match nul : 27.53%. Pour Ponte Preta (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.85. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.87, soit une espérance positive de +0.345%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV +0.345%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.54%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.42%E -8.74%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -7.90%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |