Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ponte Preta v Avai

Início: 2026-08-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Ponte Preta 0–2 Avai

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Previsão 20.60%4.85odd justa
EV +0.345%
Vantagem +0.071%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.79%20.53%20.59%22.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.414.404.8725.00%22.70%22.73%20.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avai (Visitante)

Previsão 51.87%1.93odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -6.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.61%51.95%51.91%54.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.56%56.34%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.53%3.63odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.641%
Kelly -0.893%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.31%27.53%27.50%28.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.333.5532.26%29.89%30.08%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ponte Preta (Local): 20.60%; Avai (Visitante): 51.87%; Empate: 27.53%. Para Ponte Preta (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.85. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.345%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV +0.345%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.54%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.42%E -8.74%K -22.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 18:40
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:38
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:44
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:48
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:39
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 13:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:44
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:50
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:49
1xBet🎯4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -7.90%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 18:54
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:44
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:51
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 18:54
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:44
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:09
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 13:50
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 18:39
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 18:44
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:39
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-23 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:34
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-08-23 18:54