Idioma:Español
Ponte Preta v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 20.60%4.85momio equitativo
EV +0.345%
Ventaja +0.071%
Kelly +0.089%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.79%20.53%20.59%22.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.404.8725.00%22.70%22.73%20.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 51.87%1.93momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -6.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.61%51.95%51.91%54.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.56%56.34%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -0.893%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.53%27.50%28.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.353.333.5532.26%29.89%30.08%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ponte Preta (Local): 20.60%; Avai (Visitante): 51.87%; Empate: 27.53%. Para Ponte Preta (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.85. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.345%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.74%EV +0.345%E +0.071%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.54%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.48%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.42%E -8.74%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.12%E -3.38%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.52%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -7.90%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.28%E -0.641%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -12.43%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.41%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.27%E -5.94%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.46%E -3.20%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -9.16%E -2.78%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-23 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.82%E -6.96%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.23%E -5.28%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.54%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |