语言:简体中文
Ponte Preta v Athletic Club (MG)
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ponte Preta (主队)
预测 25.01%4.00公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -0.695%
Kelly -0.936%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.89
博彩公司预测分布
24.03%25.02%24.94%25.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.653.653.8928.99%27.38%27.40%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
Athletic Club (MG) (客队)
预测 45.30%2.21公平赔率
EV -4.87%
优势 -2.32%
Kelly -4.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
43.64%45.38%45.36%47.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.15%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.69%3.37公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.617%
Kelly -0.885%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.18%29.60%29.70%31.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.093.103.3034.48%32.40%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ponte Preta (主队)：25.01%；Athletic Club (MG) (客队)：45.30%；平局：29.69%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.37。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-2.04%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -2.70%E -0.695%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.45%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.04%E -0.617%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.77%E -2.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.93%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.21%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.05%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.83%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 1.8% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |