Langue:Français
Ponte Preta v Athletic Club (MG)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -0.936%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%25.02%24.94%25.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.653.653.8928.99%27.38%27.40%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.30%2.21cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -4.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.64%45.38%45.36%47.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.15%48.78%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -0.885%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.18%29.60%29.70%31.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.3034.48%32.40%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ponte Preta (Local) : 25.01% ; Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur) : 45.30% ; Match nul : 29.69%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.30, pour une espérance de -2.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -2.70%E -0.695%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.45%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.04%E -0.617%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.77%E -2.78%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.93%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-28 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.21%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.05%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.83%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 1.8% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |