L’École des cotes

Ponte Preta v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-07-28 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ponte Preta (Local)

Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.742%
Kelly -0.996%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%24.88%24.64%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.703.9229.41%27.40%27.03%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.87%2.18cote équitable
EV -5.50%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -5.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.17%45.76%45.95%46.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.0652.36%49.88%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.36%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.943%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.33%29.35%29.40%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.03%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.16%EV -2.91%E -0.742%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.43%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -5.46%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:50
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.31%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.86%EV -6.88%E -3.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -8.40%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:42
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 23:40
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -7.34%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 14:54
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -7.34%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.14%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.58%EV -8.40%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:35
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:45
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:50
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:45
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 22:34
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:50
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:50
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.12%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 00:44
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.88%E -3.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 00:15
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:50
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:50
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.36%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -9.63%E -4.89%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 14:55
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.60%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.17%E -4.63%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 02:34
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:10
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 00:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 00:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 00:15
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 10:50
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -12.38%E -6.48%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 18:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -12.07%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -10.09%E -5.15%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 10:50
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 00:15
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 10:49
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -11.01%E -5.67%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 10:50
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -14.55%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.47%E -5.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 10:50
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -14.55%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -11.47%E -5.94%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 10:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -5.96%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 08:20
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:15
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.79%E -4.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.99%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%6.6%2026-07-25 23:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.46%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.63%16.4%2026-07-25 14:55