StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta v Athletic Club (MG)

Matchstart: 2026-07-28 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ponte Preta 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ponte Preta (Hemma)

Prognos 25.01%4.00rättvist odds
EV -2.70%
Fördel -0.695%
Kelly -0.936%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.89

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.03%25.02%24.94%25.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.653.653.8928.99%27.38%27.40%25.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Borta)

Prognos 45.30%2.21rättvist odds
EV -4.87%
Fördel -2.32%
Kelly -4.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.64%45.38%45.36%47.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.15%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.69%3.37rättvist odds
EV -2.04%
Fördel -0.617%
Kelly -0.885%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.18%29.60%29.70%31.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.093.103.3034.48%32.40%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ponte Preta (Hemma): 25.01%; Athletic Club (MG) (Borta): 45.30%; Oavgjort: 29.69%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.37. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.30, med väntevärdet -2.04%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -2.70%E -0.695%K -0.936%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 22:23
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -3.45%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -5.32%E -2.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.04%E -0.617%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:09
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:14
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.70%E -0.962%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:24
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.96%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:24
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.77%E -2.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.21%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 22:15
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 22:24
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -6.23%E -3.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:29
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 22:14
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 22:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -7.58%E -3.72%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:19
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.93%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 22:05
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 22:23
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 22:24
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 22:24
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 21:59
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:14
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-28 21:59
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-28 18:24
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.21%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-28 22:29
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 22:19
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 22:24
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:00
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.05%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-28 22:29
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.83%EV -10.76%E -5.46%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-28 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-28 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.71%E -3.97%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -11.66%E -5.98%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-28 22:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-07-28 22:25
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-28 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-07-28 22:29
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%1.8%2026-07-28 22:25