Language:English
Ponte Preta v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.92%34.05%34.01%35.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.17%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.92%34.20%34.39%35.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.55%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.03%31.75%31.60%34.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.922.943.0537.74%34.25%34.07%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ponte Preta (Local): 34.02%; América Mineiro (Visit): 34.34%; Draw: 31.64%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -11.11%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -16.17%E -6.10%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 06:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:37 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -17.57%E -7.32%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |