La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ponte Preta v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ponte Preta (Local)
Predicción 34.02%2.94momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.92%34.05%34.01%35.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.17%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.92%34.20%34.39%35.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.55%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.64%3.16momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.03%31.75%31.60%34.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.922.943.0537.74%34.25%34.07%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -11.11%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:07 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -16.17%E -6.10%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:08 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 06:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:33 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:37 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -17.57%E -7.32%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |