La scuola delle quote

Ponte Preta v América Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-04-24 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ponte Preta (Casa)

Previsione 34.02%2.94quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.92%34.05%34.01%35.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.17%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.34%2.91quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -0.743%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.92%34.20%34.39%35.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.55%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.64%3.16quota equa
EV -3.51%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.03%31.75%31.60%34.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.922.943.0537.74%34.25%34.07%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -11.11%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:34
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:07
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -16.17%E -6.10%K -9.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 23:35
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 06:08
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 06:09
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:09
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 01:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:39
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:04
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:09
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:05
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 01:30
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 15:45
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 01:30
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:04
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 06:10
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 08:29
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:33
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 19:37
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:14
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -17.57%E -7.32%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-23 23:00
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-04-24 03:35