默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ponte Preta v América Mineiro

开赛时间: 2026-04-24 23:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ponte Preta (主队)

预测 34.02%2.94公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.92%34.05%34.01%35.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.17%37.04%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

América Mineiro (客队)

预测 34.34%2.91公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -0.743%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.92%34.20%34.39%35.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.55%37.04%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.64%3.16公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.03%31.75%31.60%34.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.922.943.0537.74%34.25%34.07%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Ponte Preta (主队):34.02%;América Mineiro (客队):34.34%;平局:31.64%。 对于“América Mineiro (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.85,期望值为-2.12%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -11.11%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:34
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 01:30
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:39
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:07
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -16.17%E -6.10%K -9.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 23:35
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 06:08
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 06:09
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:09
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:39
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:04
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 01:30
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 01:30
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 08:29
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:33
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 19:37
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:14
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -17.57%E -7.32%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 23:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-04-23 23:00
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-04-24 03:35