L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 34.02%2.94cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.92%34.05%34.01%35.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.17%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.34%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.92%34.20%34.39%35.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.662.702.8541.67%37.55%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.64%3.16cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.03%31.75%31.60%34.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.922.943.0537.74%34.25%34.07%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.60%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -2.46%E -0.867%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -11.11%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:07 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -16.17%E -6.10%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:08 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 06:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.45%EV -10.53%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -6.68%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:33 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:37 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -13.25%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -14.95%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -17.57%E -7.32%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |