Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR v Avai

2026-08-16 14:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Operario PR (Local)

Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd
EV -7.77%
Edge -4.37%
Kelly -9.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%51.81%51.81%52.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.781.7859.52%57.17%56.18%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Visit)

Prediction 20.96%4.77fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%20.96%20.96%21.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.384.504.5023.81%22.83%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.22%27.22%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.373.453.4530.77%29.65%28.99%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Operario PR (Local): 51.81%; Avai (Visit): 20.96%; Draw: 27.22%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -5.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.77%E -4.37%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.81%EV -8.81%E -5.00%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -8.81%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.78%EV -10.36%E -5.99%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -10.88%E -6.33%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.73%EV -11.40%E -6.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.06%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -12.95%E -7.71%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -12.95%E -7.71%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.