Language:English
Operario PR v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Operario PR (Local)
Prediction 56.05%1.78fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.27%56.01%56.10%58.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.651.7364.52%60.39%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 17.79%5.62fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.300%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.85%17.82%19.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.005.005.7022.73%20.01%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%26.13%26.09%27.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.76%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Operario PR (Local): 56.05%; Avai (Visit): 17.79%; Draw: 26.16%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +1.23%E +0.216%K +0.262%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.22%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.12%E -8.46%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.02%EV -2.33%E -0.424%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.79%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -3.93%E -0.728%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 13:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.02%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 13:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -7.49%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.76%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -8.38%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 13:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 13:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.42%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.99%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.66% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |