StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR v Avai

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Operario PR 1–2 Avai

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Operario PR (Hemma)

Prognos 56.05%1.78rättvist odds
EV -3.03%
Fördel -1.75%
Kelly -4.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.27%56.01%56.10%58.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.661.651.7364.52%60.39%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Borta)

Prognos 17.79%5.62rättvist odds
EV +1.41%
Fördel +0.247%
Kelly +0.300%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.27%17.85%17.82%19.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.005.005.7022.73%20.01%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.16%3.82rättvist odds
EV -3.22%
Fördel -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.14%26.13%26.09%27.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.76%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Operario PR (Hemma): 56.05%; Avai (Borta): 17.79%; Oavgjort: 26.16%. För Avai (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.62. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.41%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +1.23%E +0.216%K +0.262%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.22%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.12%E -8.46%K -23.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:29
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.02%EV -2.33%E -0.424%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.79%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -3.93%E -0.728%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 13:33
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.02%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 13:38
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -7.49%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.76%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -8.38%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 13:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 13:28
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.42%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.99%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%0.2%2026-08-16 13:55
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-16 13:35