Idioma:Español
Operario PR v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Operario PR (Local)
Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.27%56.01%56.10%58.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.661.651.7364.52%60.39%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 17.79%5.62momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.300%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%17.85%17.82%19.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.005.005.7022.73%20.01%20.00%17.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%26.13%26.09%27.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.76%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Operario PR (Local): 56.05%; Avai (Visitante): 17.79%; Empate: 26.16%. Para Avai (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.62. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +1.23%E +0.216%K +0.262%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.22%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.12%E -8.46%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.02%EV -2.33%E -0.424%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.79%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -3.93%E -0.728%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 13:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.02%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 13:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -7.49%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.76%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -8.38%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 13:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 13:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.42%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.99%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.66% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |