StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Operario PR v Avai

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Operario PR 1–2 Avai

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Operario PR (Heim)

Prognose 56.05%1.78faire Quote
EV -3.03%
Vorteil -1.75%
Kelly -4.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.27%56.01%56.10%58.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.661.651.7364.52%60.39%60.61%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.79%5.62faire Quote
EV +1.41%
Vorteil +0.247%
Kelly +0.300%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.27%17.85%17.82%19.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.005.005.7022.73%20.01%20.00%17.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.16%3.82faire Quote
EV -3.22%
Vorteil -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.14%26.13%26.09%27.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.76%28.57%27.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Operario PR (Heim): 56.05%; Avai (Auswärts): 17.79%; Unentschieden: 26.16%. Für Avai (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.62. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.41%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +1.23%E +0.216%K +0.262%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.22%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.12%E -8.46%K -23.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:29
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.02%EV -2.33%E -0.424%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.79%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -3.93%E -0.728%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 13:33
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.02%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 13:38
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -7.49%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.76%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -8.38%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 13:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 13:28
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.42%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.99%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%0.2%2026-08-16 13:55
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-16 13:35