Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Operario PR v Avai

Início: 2026-08-16 14:00 UTC

Final: Operario PR 1–2 Avai

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Operario PR (Local)

Previsão 56.05%1.78odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.27%56.01%56.10%58.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.661.651.7364.52%60.39%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avai (Visitante)

Previsão 17.79%5.62odd justa
EV +1.41%
Vantagem +0.247%
Kelly +0.300%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.27%17.85%17.82%19.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.005.005.7022.73%20.01%20.00%17.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.16%3.82odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.14%26.13%26.09%27.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.76%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Operario PR (Local): 56.05%; Avai (Visitante): 17.79%; Empate: 26.16%. Para Avai (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.62. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.41%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV +1.41%E +0.247%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 13:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.88%EV +1.23%E +0.216%K +0.262%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.22%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -13.12%E -8.46%K -23.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -2.15%E -0.391%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:29
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.29%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.02%EV -2.33%E -0.424%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.79%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -3.93%E -0.728%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 13:33
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.02%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 13:38
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.60%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -7.49%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.76%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.51%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -8.38%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 13:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -11.05%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.60%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -5.84%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -15.49%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 13:28
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.16%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.38%E -3.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.42%EV -6.95%E -4.19%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.19%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -13.68%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -21.72%E -4.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.99%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%0.2%2026-08-16 13:55
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.80%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-16 13:35