Nautico PE v Londrina

2026-07-23 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

56%

19%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nautico PE (Local)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd

EV -7.59%

Edge -4.60%

Kelly -11.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.85%56.01%56.01%56.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.571.621.651.6564%62%61%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Londrina (Visit)

Prediction 18.63%5.37fair odd

EV -4.98%

Edge -0.976%

Kelly -1.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.28%18.63%18.63%18.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.704.955.105.1021%20%20%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd

EV -6.17%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -2.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.20%25.36%25.36%25.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.453.613.703.7029%28%27%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
Unibet (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
Casumo	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
Unibet (NL)	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
betPARX	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
ATG (SE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
Svenska Spel	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.98%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-16 01:35
BetRivers	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.71%E -5.34%K -13.82%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -8.71%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-16 01:35
Grosvenor	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.05%EV -10.39%E -6.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-16 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.39%E -6.49%K -17.31%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.57%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-07-16 01:35
TABtouch	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -12.07%E -7.69%K -21.17%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.58%EV -11.50%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-07-16 01:35
Virgin Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 55.89%EV -12.07%E -7.69%K -21.17%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -12.43%E -2.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-16 01:35
LiveScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 55.89%EV -12.07%E -7.69%K -21.17%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -12.43%E -2.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-16 01:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.