Language:English
Nautico PE v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.14%50.03%49.89%53.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.811.851.9160.24%55.12%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%22.58%22.68%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.04%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.40%27.43%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.353.5531.25%29.68%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 49.83%; Londrina (Visit): 22.73%; Draw: 27.44%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.64%EV +0.711%E +0.161%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -17.28%E -10.41%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -2.24%E -0.522%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -9.81%E -5.42%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.80%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |