La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nautico PE v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nautico PE (Local)
Predicción 49.83%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.82%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -5.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.14%50.03%49.89%53.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.811.851.9160.24%55.12%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 22.73%4.40momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.512%
Kelly +0.658%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.14%22.58%22.68%23.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.04%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.44%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.27%27.40%27.43%28.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.353.5531.25%29.68%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.64%EV +0.711%E +0.161%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -17.28%E -10.41%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -2.24%E -0.522%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -9.81%E -5.42%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| betano_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.80%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |