A Escola das Odds

Nautico PE v Londrina

Início: 2026-07-23 00:29 UTC

Final: Nautico PE 2–1 Londrina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nautico PE (Local)

Previsão 49.83%2.01odd justa
EV -4.82%
Vantagem -2.53%
Kelly -5.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.14%50.03%49.89%53.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.811.851.9160.24%55.12%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Londrina (Visitante)

Previsão 22.73%4.40odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +0.512%
Kelly +0.658%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.14%22.58%22.68%23.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.04%23.81%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.44%3.64odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.27%27.40%27.43%28.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.353.5531.25%29.68%29.85%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 23:49
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.64%EV +0.711%E +0.161%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 00:15
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -17.28%E -10.41%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 23:49
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -2.24%E -0.522%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 00:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 00:24
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 23:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 23:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 23:45
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -9.81%E -5.42%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 00:03
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 00:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 23:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 23:49
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:05
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:05
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 00:04
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 00:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 00:19
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 23:50
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 00:20
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 00:28
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.80%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-23 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:15
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-07-23 00:14