StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-07-23 00:29 UTC

Slutresultat: Nautico PE 2–1 Londrina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE (Hemma)

Prognos 49.83%2.01rättvist odds
EV -4.82%
Fördel -2.53%
Kelly -5.30%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.14%50.03%49.89%53.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.661.811.851.9160.24%55.12%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 22.73%4.40rättvist odds
EV +2.30%
Fördel +0.512%
Kelly +0.658%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.14%22.58%22.68%23.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.04%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.44%3.64rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.27%27.40%27.43%28.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.373.353.5531.25%29.68%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nautico PE (Hemma): 49.83%; Londrina (Borta): 22.73%; Oavgjort: 27.44%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.40. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.30%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.64%EV +0.711%E +0.161%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 00:15
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -17.28%E -10.41%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 23:49
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -2.24%E -0.522%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 23:49
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 23:45
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -9.81%E -5.42%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:05
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 00:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 00:24
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 23:49
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 00:20
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 00:28
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.80%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-23 00:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-07-23 00:15
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-07-23 00:14