L’École des cotesFrançais
Nautico PE v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 49.83%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.82%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -5.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.14%50.03%49.89%53.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.811.851.9160.24%55.12%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.73%4.40cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.658%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.14%22.58%22.68%23.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.04%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.733%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.27%27.40%27.43%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.353.5531.25%29.68%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -12.30%E -6.99%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV +2.30%E +0.512%K +0.658%G +0.015% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.64%EV +0.711%E +0.161%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.40%EV -17.28%E -10.41%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.14%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.55%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -2.24%E -0.522%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.29%E -8.99%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -3.38%E -0.795%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.82%E -3.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -9.81%E -5.42%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 00:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -16.78%E -10.05%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.31%E -5.73%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.34%E -2.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:20 |
| betano_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 00:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.80%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.61%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:14 |