Language:English
Nautico PE v Fortaleza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.56%39.37%39.43%40.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.312.302.4646.08%43.24%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortaleza (Visit)
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.30%29.61%29.54%31.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.133.2634.72%32.22%31.90%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.09%3.22fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%31.02%31.03%32.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.972.983.1038.46%33.64%33.61%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 39.34%; Fortaleza (Visit): 29.57%; Draw: 31.09%. For Nautico PE (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.46, with an expected value of -3.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.13%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -4.54%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 21:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.85%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |