A Escola das Odds

Nautico PE v Fortaleza

Início: 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC

Final: Nautico PE 0–1 Fortaleza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nautico PE (Local)

Previsão 39.34%2.54odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.56%39.37%39.43%40.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.312.302.4646.08%43.24%43.48%40.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortaleza (Visitante)

Previsão 29.57%3.38odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.30%29.61%29.54%31.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.103.133.2634.72%32.22%31.90%30.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.09%3.22odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.89%31.02%31.03%32.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.972.983.1038.46%33.64%33.61%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.13%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -4.54%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-09 21:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 21:28
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 21:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 21:39
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 21:39
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 21:39
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 21:09
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 21:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-09 21:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-09 21:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-09 21:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-09 21:30
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-09 21:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 21:48
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-09 21:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-09 21:29
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 21:29
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 21:29
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 21:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:50
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 21:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-09 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-09 21:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 21:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-09 21:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.85%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-09 21:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-09 21:39
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-09 21:09
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-09 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-09 21:49
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-09 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-09 20:29
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-09 21:49
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-09 21:50
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-09 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-06-09 21:50
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-06-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-06-09 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-06-09 21:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%2.3%2026-06-09 21:50