مدرسة الاحتمالاتNautico PE v Fortaleza
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nautico PE (المضيف)
التنبؤ 39.34%2.54السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.56%39.37%39.43%40.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.312.302.4646.08%43.24%43.48%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Fortaleza (الضيف)
التنبؤ 29.57%3.38السعر العادل
EV -3.62%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.26
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.30%29.61%29.54%31.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.133.2634.72%32.22%31.90%30.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.09%3.22السعر العادل
EV -3.61%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.89%31.02%31.03%32.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.972.983.1038.46%33.64%33.61%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.13%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -4.54%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 21:28 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.85%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |