La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nautico PE v Fortaleza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Nautico PE (Casa)
Previsione 39.34%2.54quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.56%39.37%39.43%40.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.312.302.4646.08%43.24%43.48%40.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fortaleza (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.57%3.38quota equa
EV -3.62%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.30%29.61%29.54%31.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.103.133.2634.72%32.22%31.90%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.09%3.22quota equa
EV -3.61%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.89%31.02%31.03%32.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.972.983.1038.46%33.64%33.61%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.13%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -4.54%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 21:28 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.85%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |