La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Nautico PE v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nautico PE (Local)
Predicción 39.34%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.56%39.37%39.43%40.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.312.302.4646.08%43.24%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 29.57%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.30%29.61%29.54%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.133.2634.72%32.22%31.90%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.09%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.89%31.02%31.03%32.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.972.983.1038.46%33.64%33.61%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.13%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -4.54%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 21:28 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -8.89%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 21:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 21:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.55%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.91%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-09 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.85%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-09 21:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-09 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.30%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-06-09 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -12.78%E -4.33%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.3% | 2026-06-09 21:50 |